From exit-poll to result counting : Assembly elections 2017

BY : Surinder Kumar

The emerging election results will be crucial for many political leaders across parties

As the counting of votes of the assembly elections across states has started toady morning, political parties and observers are eagerly weighing the emerging results. As the initial trends are setting up, at the time of this writing, BJP is leading in U.P. by bagging as much as 40 per cent votes, while in Goa it has so far got 30 per cent of votes. In Manipur, the party has so far secured more than 30 per cent votes while it is close to 45 per cent in Uttarakhand. For INC, performance in Punjab is the only relief as of now.  INC is leading with 37.8% votes in Punjab.


Looking at the emerging trends in the results, especially in the context of different exit polls, it is largely confirming the exit poll results. Last day exit-poll predicted BJP victory in U.P, Goa, Uttrakhand, Manipur but loss in Punjab. present trends shows similar trends. In the Punjab 157 seats and 59 seats needed for majority. In Uttar Pradesh there are 403 seats and 202 seats needed for majority. In 16th U.P. legislative assembly SP (Samajwadi Party) won a majority and formed government in the leadership of Akhilesh Yadav.

Out of the 40 assembly seats in Goa, 21 is needed for majority. In the previous elections, BJP alliance with MD (Maharashtrawadi Gomantak) defeated the incumbent INC government. Manohar Parikar was the Cheif Minister but in 2014 he resigned to take up the new assignment of being the Defence Ministry. L. Parsekar who replaced Parikar as the CM, as per the emrging results has lost the mandate this time.

In Uttrakhand, out of the 69 assembly seats, 36 are needed for forming the government. During the last elections, none of the parties won majority single handed, but INC formed government with help of PDP (Progressive Democratic Front). In Manipur, there are 60 seats where 31 seats are needed for majority.